Early midterm results show Republicans underperforming as Democrats move ahead in the fight for Congress

Summary

Early results from Indiana and Kentucky, the first midterm votes being counted, are in line with polling that has put Democrats well ahead in the battle for Congress, according to Semafor. Semafor reports that Republicans are underperforming as these first votes come in. A later Semafor report says Democrats appeared on track to hold several Florida congressional seats that had been redrawn to get redder, which it presents as a sign of significant Republican underperformance across the map. Semafor also headlines that a massive blue wave hands Congress to Democrats and that Trump faces a repudiation of his second-term agenda. The coverage is limited to these early results and does not describe a final outcome.

Timeline

1. Semafor

   4 Nov 2026, 00:19 UTCSource ↗

   Semafor reports that early midterm results from Indiana and Kentucky are in line with polling that has put Democrats well ahead in the battle for Congress.

2. Semafor

   4 Nov 2026, 00:19 UTCSource ↗

   Semafor reports that early midterm results from Indiana and Kentucky are in line with polling that has put Democrats well ahead in the battle for Congress, and headlines that Republicans are underperforming as the first votes are counted.

3. Semafor

   4 Nov 2026, 01:56 UTCSource ↗

   Semafor reports that early midterm results from Indiana and Kentucky are in line with polling that has put Democrats well ahead in the battle for Congress, and headlines that Republicans are underperforming as the first votes are counted.

4. Semafor

   4 Nov 2026, 05:02 UTCSource ↗

   Semafor reports that Democrats appeared on track to hold several Florida congressional seats redrawn to get redder, a sign of significant Republican underperformance across the map, and headlines that a massive blue wave hands Congress to Democrats.