Democrats favoured to win US House and Senate control as 2026 midterm voting gets under way

Summary

Voting in the 2026 US midterm elections was underway on November 3, with prediction markets and forecasters favouring Democrats to take control of Congress. Prediction markets gave Democrats a 94% chance of winning the House and a 77.3% chance of taking the Senate, while polls showed a different picture of their chances. ABC reported that Democrats had firmed up as narrow favourites to win control of both houses, according to the top US political forecasters. Hindustan Times reported that six major election forecasters gave Democrats a strong chance to retake the House, with several projecting a comfortable majority.

Timeline

1. Hindustan Times

   3 Nov 2026, 16:41 UTCSource ↗

   Prediction markets give Democrats a 94% chance of winning the US House and a 77.3% chance of taking the Senate in the 2026 midterms, while polls differ on their chances.

2. ABC

   3 Nov 2026, 17:58 UTCSource ↗

   Democrats have firmed up as narrow favourites to win control of both houses of the US Congress in the midterm elections, according to the US's top political forecasters.

3. Hindustan Times

   3 Nov 2026, 18:37 UTCSource ↗

   Six major election forecasters give Democrats a strong chance to retake the House, with several projecting a comfortable majority.