Democrats are favoured to win both chambers of Congress in the midterms, but analysts urge caution over the polls

Summary

Polls show Democrats as odds-on favourites to win control of both chambers of US Congress in the midterm elections, and they could take the House of Representatives, which would pose a threat to the Trump administration. Some analysts are urging caution because painful past defeats to Trump come with a warning that the polls may be wrong this time, and experts warn the outcome may not be as simple as the polls suggest.

Timeline

1. Sydney Morning Herald

   3 Nov 2026, 05:36 UTCSource ↗

   The Sydney Morning Herald reports that the Democrats are odds-on favourites to win control of both chambers of US Congress, but that painful past defeats to Trump have led some polling experts to urge caution.

2. ABC News

   3 Nov 2026, 06:58 UTCSource ↗

   ABC reports that polls say the Democratic Party could seize control of the US Congress when this week's midterm elections are held, and that experts warn it may not be that simple.

3. The Japan Times

   3 Nov 2026, 07:03 UTCSource ↗

   The Japan Times reports that polls show Democrats could take control of the House of Representatives, posing a threat to the Trump administration, in its guide to the biggest questions of the US midterm elections.